Cook Political Ratings Changes for 10/23

All but two moves ME-SEN and FL-16 are in our favor.

http://www.cookpolitical.com/r…

MAINE | Senate: Lean Republican to Likely Republican  

WYOMING | District AL: Likely Republican to Lean Republican

WEST VIRGINIA | District 2: Likely Republican to Lean Republican

SOUTH CAROLINA | District 1: Likely Republican to Lean Republican  

NORTH CAROLINA | District 5: Solid Republican to Likely Republican  

NEW MEXICO | District 1: Toss Up to Lean Democrat

NEW JERSEY | District 3: Toss Up to Lean Democrat

MINNESOTA | District 3: Toss Up to Lean Democrat  

ILLINOIS | District 10: Lean Republican to Toss

IDAHO | District 1: Lean Republican to Toss Up

FLORIDA | District 18: Solid Republican to Likely Republican

FLORIDA | District 16: Lean Republican to Likely Republican

ALABAMA | District 3: Solid Republican to Likely Republican

17 thoughts on “Cook Political Ratings Changes for 10/23”

  1. Now isn’t that interesting…

    http://www.dailykos.com/story/…

    Here is Public Policy Polling’s Tom Jenson on the race:

    The closest Congressional district in the state is the 5th, where Virginia Foxx leads Roy Carter 48-46. I really hope the DCCC and other folks take the pick up opportunity in this district seriously. There are races on the Red to Blue list that based on the data I’ve seen are less winnable than this one. Carter is a uniquely appealing candidate and has the opportunity to pull off the same kind of shocker Larry Kissell almost did in 2006 if he gets the resources he needs to run the strongest campaign possible.

    Holy smokes – 48-46!!

  2. For those who don’t know Cook has a bizarre policy of not placing non-indicted incumbents worse than Tossup.  Even if the incumbent has zero chance like Feeney, Knollenberg or Young.  That is why his ratings overall show a republican bias.

  4. So Tim Mahoney’s race in Fl-16  is being “further downgraded.” Another compelling piece of evidence that these published forecasts always lag the situation on the ground. Always.

    I downgraded the Mahoney race to Safe Repub the day I read the news. What was Cook waiting for? To get a peek at what Sabato was gonna do? The professional prognosticators are always behind. Always.

    Glad to see the upgrades though. At this rate they may actually catch up with the trends on or about Nov 5.

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